Ethiopia Fires Under Control: 11 April 2000
Ethiopia Fires Under Control
11 April 2000
Ethiopia Current Fire Weather Situation and Forecast
Fire Weather Forecast for the Southern Region:
There is only a 20% chance for isolated thundershowers. This situation will last for the next 10 days.
If there is not a lot of rain as per region, the fire index will start to rise rapidly over the next couple of days. The only areas that will have a lower fire index will be the areas that received 12mm or more over the last 3 days. Areas with no rain will go much higher than stated in the forecast.
Tab.1. Addis Ababa area forecast for 14:00 Tuesday 11 April 2000. Fire Danger Index (FDI) legend
6 Day 14h00 Forecast Ethiopia Region Addis Abba Area Day Temp (C) Hum (%) W Dir WSpd (km/h) Bar (Hpa) FDI Tendency Tue 11 30 39 S 13 1009 60 Orange – Wed 12 31 38 SW 14 1008 63 Orange – Thu 13 32 35 SW 15 1005 66 Orange – Fri 14 32 36 SW 14 1004 65 Orange – Sat 15 33 36 SW 13 1009 65 Orange – Sun 16 32 38 SW 12 1009 62 Orange
Tab.2. Goba area forecast for 14:00 Tuesday 11 April 2000. Fire Danger Index (FDI) legend
6 Day 14h00 Forecast Ethiopia Region Goba Area Day Temp (C) Hum (%) W Dir WSpd (km/h) Bar (Hpa) FDI Tendency Tue 11 25 42 SE 13 1009 53 Yellow – Wed 12 26 40 SE 13 1013 55 Yellow – Thu 13 27 37 SW 17 1009 60 Orange – Fri 14 28 34 SE 21 1012 65 Orange – Sat 15 29 33 SE 18 1010 65 Orange – Sun 16 28 35 SE 13 1010 59 Yellow
Source of forecast tables: Net Forecasting (South Africa) on the base of data from the ECMWF (European Center For Medium Range Weather Forecasts) and the U.K.M.O. (United Kingdom Meteorological Office).
Fig.1. and 2. Fire weather forecast maps for Ethiopia, 11 and 12 April 2000.
Map legend
(Source: Net Forecasting)
Also available is a three-month rain forecast (starting 26 February 2000). The implications of this forecast are discussed by Net Forecasting.
An Eastern Africa and the Horn Satellite Imagery (NDVI) and rainfall analysis is provided by the USAID Famine Early Warning System.
For further information (history of the current fire situation in Ethiopia, starting in February 2000) please refer also to the earlier reports this and last week at the “Current Significant Fire Events” page. Some visual impressions from the ongoing fires in Ethiopia and several photographs taken from the Space Shuttle missions in the 1980s and 1990s with general impression of land cover and fires are also available.
