Forest Fires in the United States
13 February 2002
Wildland Fire Update
Attention: All links to the NIFC and BLM websites are not operational because of litigation against the Department of the Interior (DOI) regarding access to Indian trust data or assets. On 5 December 2001, a court order required DOI and its agencies to disconnect from the internet all information systems until it can be demonstrated that systems housing or providing access to individual Indian trust data or assets meet appropriate security standards.
The GFMC will monitor the developments and remove this notification when internet access to DOI websites and electronic communication will be resumed.The National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) based in Boise (Idaho) provides key information on current wildland fire situations, related information and background materials. The following information is updated daily and can be accessed directly:
- State-by-State daily and year-to-date summary of fire activities
http://www.nifc.gov/fireinfo/nfn.html
- Year-to-date State-by-State total number of wildland fires and area burned (table)
http://www.nifc.gov/fireinfo/nfnmap.html
- Daily locations of large fires (map)
http://www.nifc.gov/fireinfo/firemap.htmlThe National Interagency Coordination Center (NICC) provides daily situation reports. These reports include:
- Incident Management Situation Reports (fires and area burned reported to NICC). The files include current, previous and archived reports
- Prescribed Fire and Wildland Fire Use (year-to-date fires and area burned reported to NICC, posted weekly on Monday mornings)
http://www.nifc.gov/news/RXWFUYTD.htmFire Weather & Fire Danger Information
The Wildland Fire Assessment System (WFAS) is a contribution of "The Fire Behavior Research Work Unit", Missoula (Montana USA). The broad area component of the Wildland Fire Assessment System (WFAS) generates maps of selected fire weather and fire danger components.Fire Danger (Potential) is a normalized adjective rating class across different fuel models and station locations. It is based on information provided by local station managers about the primary fuel model, fire danger index selected to reflect staffing level, and climatological class breakpoints. Low danger (Class 1) is green and extreme potential (Class 5) is red.
Fire danger maps for the United States for 12 February 2002 (observation time) and 13 February 2002 (forecast)
(Source: WAFS)Dead fuel moisture responds solely to ambient environmental conditions and is critical in determining fire potential. Dead fuel moistures are classed by timelag.
Fuel moisture maps for conterminous US, 12 February 2002
(Source: WAFS)The Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) is a soil/duff drought index. Factors in the index are maximum daily temperature, daily precipitation, antecedent precipitation, and annual precipitation. The index ranges from 0 (no drought) to 800 (extreme drought) (details).
Keetch-Byram Drought Index Maps for conterminous US, 12 February 2002
(Source: WAFS)
Near-real time satellite images
Operational Significant Event Imagery (OSEI)
The following significant events were identified by Satellite Analysis Branch meteorologists and reviewed by the OSEI support team of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA):
NESDIS/OSEI NOAA-12 POES AVHRR LAC satellite images,
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue haze) are visible from fires burning in Southern California and Mexico. A 3,000 acre wildfire moved onto Camp Pendleton on Monday after burning dozens of homes and injuring 11 people in a wealthy enclave near Fallbrook, CA. This information is from the San Diego Union-Tribune (13 February 2002).
(Source: OSEI/NOAA)
The Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor (SeaWiFS) captured this true-color image of many large dust plumes blowing oceanward from Baja California, Mexico. At various places among the yellowish-brown dust plumes, whiter smoke plumes are also visible; including a small smoke plume (visible in the high-resolution image) coming from the Fallbrook, California, area.
The Fallbrook wildfire is located roughly 75 km (47 miles) due north of San Diego, and about 115 km (70 miles) due west of the Salton Sea. According to regional newspaper reports, the Fallbrook blaze has already consumed at least 40 structures, including a number of homes, and injured 11 people. High winds are fanning the flames toward Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base.
For more information on the recent fire situation see: Recent Media Highlights on Fire, Policies, and Politics , especially several articles since 1 November 2001.
Long-range weather forecasts
National Weather
Service
Long-range, 30-day weather forecasts are predicting above-normal temperatures for
the southern tier of states from southern California to Florida and throughout the Midwest
(see 30 and 90-day forecast maps).
30 and 90-day temperature and precipitation forecast maps (February
2002 and February to April 2002)
(Source: National Weather
Service)
The Florida
Division of Forestry gives the following long-range Wildfire Season Forecast September - March 2002
for Florida:
"A return to near normal conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean marks the end
of the prolonged La Niña event that brought very active fire seasons to the state
the past few years. Normal to slightly warmer sea surface temperatures in the Pacific will bring us our first “normal” winter in a while, and if sea surface temperatures continue to slowly warm we may get above normal rainfall this winter."
For further information see: Wildfire
Season Forecast of the Florida Division of Forestry
For further information you may also see to the U.S. Drought Monitor.
For background information on the Southern Area see the Edited Version of the Southern Area Intelligence Briefing Paper for 22 April 2001.