GFMC: Forest Fires in the United States, 5 January 2001

Forest Fires in the United States

5 January 2001


Operational Significant Event Imagery (OSEI)
The following significant events were identified by Satellite Analysis Branch meteorologists and reviewed by the OSEI support team:

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NESDIS/OSEI NOAA-14 POES AVHRR LAC satellite image, 4 January 2001.
A large heat signature (red) and smoke (light green) are visible in this NOAA-14 image from a fire burning east of San Diego.
The blaze that was started Wednesday morning from a vehicle fire has spread across 8,000 acres of land destroying several
homes. High winds and dry vegatation helped fuel the fire that caused officals to order the evacuation of two casinos,
a San Diego county jail, and hundreds of homes.
(Source: OSEI/NOAA)

Nasa´s Earthobservatory

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This image of  “Viejas Wildfire” east of San Diego was acquired on January 4, 2001, by the Moderate-resolution Imaging
Spectroradiometer (MODIS), flying aboard NASA’s Terra spacecraft. This false-color image was generated using a
combination of MODIS’ thermal infrared data, at 1-kilometer resolution, along with two of the sensor’s 500-meter
resolution visible channels.
(Source: Nasa´s Earthobservatory, Image courtesy Dave Brooks)

Environmental News Network:
California fire agencies battle wildfire
So far the fire has burnt 8,000 acres and several homes. The fire in eastern San Diego County was 10 percent contained late Wednesday.
For further information see the article posted yesterday at the ENN website.

The Wildland Fire Assessment System (WFAS) is a contribution of “The Fire Behavior Research Work Unit”, Missoula (Montana USA). The broad area component of the Wildland Fire Assessment System (WFAS) generates maps of selected fire weather and fire danger components.

Fire Danger (Potential) is a normalized adjective rating class across different fuel models and station locations. It is based on information provided by local station managers about the primary fuel model, fire danger index selected to reflect staffing level, and climatological class breakpoints. Low danger (class 1) is green and extreme potential (class 5) is red.

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Fire danger maps for the United States for 4 January 2001 (observation time) and 5 January 2001 (forecast)
WAFS

Dead fuel moisture responds solely to ambient environmental conditions and is critical in determining fire potential. Dead fuel moistures are classed by timelag. A fuel’s timelag is proportional to its diameter and is loosely defined as the time it takes a fuel particle to reach 2/3’s of its way to equilibrium with its local environment. Dead fuels in NFDRS have four timelag classes:
1-hr: Fine flashy fuels, less than 1/4″ (< 0.63 cm) diameter. Responds quickly to weather changes. Computed from observation time temperature, humidity and cloudiness.
10-hr: 1/4 to 1″ (0.63 to 2.54 cm) diameters. Computed from observation time temperature, humidty, and cloudiness, or may be a standard set of “10-Hr Fuel Sticks” that are weighed as part of the fire weather observation.
100-hr: 1 to 3″ (2.54 to 7.62 cm) diameter. Computed from 24 hour average boundary condition composed of day length, hours of rain, and daily temperature/humidity ranges.
1000-hr: 3 to 6″ (7.62 to 15.24 cm) diameter. Computed from a 7-day average boundary condition composed of day length, hours of rain, and daily temperature/humidity ranges.

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10-HR Fuel Moisture

100-HR Fuel Moisture

1000-HR Fuel Moisture

Fuel moisture maps for conterminous US, 4 January 2001
WAFS

The Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) is a soil/duff drought index that ranges from 0 (no drought) to 800 (extreme drought) and is based on a soil capacity of 8 inches of water. Factors in the index are maximum daily temperature, daily precipitation, antecedent precipitation, and annual precipitation. KBDI = 0 – 200: Soil moisture and large class fuel moistures are high and do not contribute much to fire intensity. Typical of spring dormant season following winter precipitation. KBDI = 200 – 400: Typical of late spring, early growing season. Lower litter and duff layers are drying and beginning to contribute to fire intensity. KBDI = 400 – 600: Typical of late summer, early fall. Lower litter and duff layers actively contribute to fire intensity and will burn actively. KBDI = 600 – 800: Often associated with more severe drought with increased wildfire occurrence. Intense, deep burning fires with significant downwind spotting can be expected. Live fuels can also be expected to burn actively at these levels.
For further information on the Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) by Florida’s Division of Forestry / Forest Protection Bureau please refer to Keetch-Byram Drought Index Revisited: Prescribed Fire Applications.

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Keetch-Byram Drought Index Maps for conterminous US, 4 January 2001
WAFS

National Weather Service
Long-range, 30-day weather forecasts are predicting above-normal temperatures for the southern tier of states from southern California to Florida and throughout the Midwest (see 30 and 90-day forecast maps).

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30 and 90-day temperature and precipitation forecast maps (January and January to March 2001)
(Source: National Weather Service)


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